Election Predictions

Posted by Mike Sylvester - 11/4/08 @ 8:51 am - Filed Under 2008 Local Elections, 2008 National Elections, Featured

First of all I hope everyone votes.  One of the keys to a successful Democracy is an informed and voting populace.

My predictions are below:

Barack Obama (D) will be the next President.  He will not win in a landslide; however he will win.  I further predict that McCain will win both Indiana and Ohio.

Mitch Daniels (R) will easily win the Governors race.

Greg Zoeller (R) will win the Attorney General race by at least 6 points.

Tony Bennett (R) will win the Superintendent of Public Instruction race by at least 6 points.

Mark Souder (R) will win his next term in Congress; however, it will be close.  I predict Souder will get 49%, Montagano 46%, Larsen 5%.

Sue Orth (R) will easily win the race for County Treasurer in Allen County.

County Council is the hardest race for me to predict.  I project Buskirk (R) having the most votes, followed by Armstrong (R), followed by Hoot (D).  I think Moss (R) will come in a close 4th and Knuth (D) a distant 5th.  I would not be surprised if Moss was 3rd.

Three Fort Wayne School Board seats are up for election this year.  Three candidates are supported by the Code Blue Schools PAC and their opponents are supported by the leadership of the School District.  I predict:  Olinger will beat Hill by a comfortable margin.  Schaab will beat Pierce by a small margin.  Mol will beat Corona by 10 votes.  In other words, I am predicting that the citizens will elect all of the Code Blue candidates in an effort to take their School District back.

What are your predictions?

Comments

4 Responses to “Election Predictions”

  1. Jeff Pruitt on November 4th, 2008 1:14 pm

    Mike,

    President - Obama in a landslide. He’ll pick up Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, Iowa and Florida (but not Indiana).

    Gov - Daniels in a rout

    AG - Zoeller but closer than 6pts (I’ll say 2)

    Superintendent - Bennett by 6

    3rd Dist Congress - Souder by 4

    Treasurer - Orth

    Council - Buskirk, Moss, Hoot

    School board - No idea; I’m too close to that race for an objective analysis

    Democrats will net +3 seats in the state legislature

    Nationally the Democrats will pick up 21 seats in the House and 8 Senate seats - Virginia, NC, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Alaska, Colorado, Oregon

  2. Mike Sylvester on November 4th, 2008 3:46 pm

    Updated predictions:

    I am not sure how many seats will change hands in the State legislature.

    I think the Democrats will pick up 25 seats in the House and 6 in the Senate.

    Mike

  3. Mr. Green Jeans on November 4th, 2008 4:59 pm

    Mike and Jeff, here are my predictions:

    1. Obama Landslide… 350+ and 10MM plus in popular vote.

    2. Montagano will miss Mark Souder by 1% point and Souder will have Bill Larsen to thank for it. Larsen will steal just enough anti-souder votes to allow him to hang on by a thread.

    3. Knuth will snag a County Council seat on the crest of this Democratic wave and Moss will be a victim of Armstrong and Buskirk name recognition (both of which are ironically enough derived from somebody else’s name)

    4. Daniels 56-44 over Long-Thompson.

    5. and, Bobett will still be an idiot.

    Jeff, on an unrelated note. Great blog. You have made election season very enjoyable!!

  4. Jon Olinger on November 4th, 2008 6:31 pm

    Stay tuned… I will make my predictions tomorrow.

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