Massachusetts Senate race
Posted by Mike Sylvester - 1/18/10 @ 8:30 pm - Filed Under National Politics
Tomorrow is the special election to elect a replacement for Democratic Senator Ted Kennedy. Massachusetts is an extremely liberal state; in fact, it is so liberal that President Obama won this state by 26 points. Another intersting fact is that there are 3 registered Democrats for each registered Republican in the state.
Republican Scott Brown is running against Democrat Martha Coakley.
The polls are currently showing that Scott Brown is in the lead. President Obama stayed out of the race until yesterday.
Special elections are notoriously hard to poll; however, it looks like Scott Brown has a better than even chance of beating Martha Coakley.
If Scott Brown wins the Democrats will lose their 60 votes in the US Senate and the Republicans will regain the ability to fillibuster.
I think that if Scott Brown does actually win the special election the National Democratic Party; and many Democratic members of Congress, are going to go into panic mode; as well they should.
If Scott Brown wins it could well be a precursor to a massive electoral drubbing if Democrats do not get their act together.
Mike Sylvester
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23 Responses to “Massachusetts Senate race”
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Agree with you Mike. Knuth’s been quiet, this should get him out of the closet.
OH, I think Brown will win today.
I do NOT know that that is really referendum on Obama though. Several people have made the point that her campaign was flawed from the beginning- she ASSUMED she would win. Always a mistake!
Sure Kevin, no reflection on Teh One at all. God love ya, you are loyal! Blind of course, but loyal!
Kevin is right on this one. Coakley is an idiot, it was her attitude more than her ideology that is going to cost her a senate seat.
Hmmm…let’s recap. Connecticut, Virginia, and Massachusetts. All really blue states that the Precedent swept just a year ago, all miraculously and coincidentally picked really lousy candidates.
Yeah, that’s the ticket. Coincidence.
More like the “handwriting on the wall”.
If somehow Coakley pulls this off. Alot of pundits will have some serious egg on the face. I would love to see Brown win. But this is massachusetts after all.
Sure Tim, let’s recap…NY23.
Coakley’s people are already blaming the Obama Adminstration. Wow that didn’t take long.
This hope and change thing ROCKS!!
blue on blue carnage commences…..Obama’s numbers are gonna drop again…that’s change I can live with.
Abandon Ship!!
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0110/31693.html
It’s only been a couple of hours and the dems are already runnin’ from Barry like men from Joy Behar, whoa!
Yeah, if Obama can get his approval number down to 38% he will tie Ronald Reagan!
Kev, Though your drive-by about reagan is totally off subject, I’ll bite. I don’t think Reagans approval was 38% at the end of his first term. Cite please?
Closest thing i could find was average 1st year approval % by Gallup showing Teh One tied with Reagan at 57%.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/125096/Obama-Averages-Approval-First-Year-Office.aspx
As much as I love seeing the “Kennedy seat” go to a Republican, I don’t really want to see health care reform derailed by the new Massachussets (did I spell that right?) senator. Holding health care hostage to a “for profit” insurance industry is not in the best interest of the country or the people who can’t afford insurance under the current system. Having your health insurance tied to your job sucks. Let’s see if Republicans use this victory as an opportunity to participate in doing the right thing for the public instead of as an opportunity to screw Obama.
Tim, happy to oblige.
Reagan was below 50% for all of 1982 and half of 1983 (roughly speaking).
Here is a cool graph for anyone interested in such things. It shows ALL approval ratings by president frmo 1945 till 2006.
click the menu on the left to view individual results: http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-presapp0605-31.html
Knuth has it right on this one. Coakley was (is) an arrogant, pretentious elitist ass. However, these are all traits she shares with most of the Dem leaders on the national stage. Brown won because he allowed his constituents to speak through him instead of brow beating them with the agenda he thought they should think is important.
Andy,
I could not have said it better.
Bravo Andy. I wondered where you were going with that, since an arrogant, pretentioius, elitist ass had held that seat for decades and that never seemed to bother the good voters of Massachusetts before. The only difference is Obama.
Obama is like the anti-Midas. Everything he touches turns into a big, steaming pile of dung. Any way we can get him to endorse Souder this year?
What Keith said. +100
Anyone taking bets on Brown being RE-Elected in 2012?
Considering what an enormous referendum on Obama his (Browns) victory was, I think he’ll be re-elected handily in 2012.
Obama? Highly unlikely.
There is alot of time till november 2010. Remember americans have a very short attention span. I hope they remember but lets wait and see.
I’m now wondering how the liberal media will spin Air America closing up shop. Ran out by “big” radio? Those nasty right wingers?
Only in America could a Man get elected to the Senate and paid by tax payers, benefits for life, AKA free health insurance and posed “Nude”…Miss America can’t even have a nude photo out there. Had a woman been running and nude photos of her appeared she would have been branded and thrown out of politics. I guess we will have to wait for The National Enquirer to cover that story too…….
For the record, ‘Andy’s’ comment above wasn’t from me. This is one of the negatives which come with posting anonymously - possible multiple posters using the same name. So from here on out - I’ll be commenting under the name Andy S.
Regarding the Massachusetts Senate race - yes, Coakley took it for granted, and she paid the price. This is one of the great things about living in the United States - the people ultimately decide who they want to represent them. Brown clearly had the passion and energy on his side, and I commend him on running a great campaign.
Its a little too early though to predict election results three years from now, let alone eight months. I’m a firm believer in the concept anything is possible. Remember - a short time ago there were those who thought the U.S. wasn’t ready to elect a black man for President.
Let’s see how Obama and the Democratic Party respond to this defeat.
Sometimes you have to take a step back, in order to go to two steps forward.